The current Bitcoin bull market may be entering its final phase, according to a well-regarded analyst known as Rekt Capital. Famous for accurately predicting Bitcoin’s pre-halving price correction in the previous cycle, Rekt Capital is now issuing a fresh warning: the window for significant gains could close within just a few months.
With Bitcoin currently trading around $109,500—an increase of over 3% in the past 24 hours—the momentum might still appear strong. However, historical patterns suggest that the most aggressive phase of this bull run could soon come to an end.
Bitcoin Nears End of Bull Market Cycle
Rekt Capital, who commands a large following of over 108,000 subscribers on YouTube, has analyzed past market cycles and concluded that Bitcoin may already be approximately 88% through its current bull market. This means only a narrow margin of time and price growth likely remains before the cycle peaks.
“If we’re talking about September, October, with it just being July now – July, August, September, and then October – that’s already two to three months, potentially, that we have left in this bull market.”
This timeline implies that the peak could occur as early as late Q3 or early Q4 of 2025. Given how much price appreciation has already occurred since the 2022 bear market bottom, the remaining upside may be limited in both duration and magnitude.
👉 Discover what top traders are watching next in the crypto markets.
Historical Patterns Suggest Imminent Peak
The analyst emphasizes that Bitcoin’s price behavior tends to follow recognizable cycles driven by supply constraints, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors—especially those tied to the Bitcoin halving event. The most recent halving occurred in April 2024, historically a catalyst for price surges that typically peak 12 to 18 months later.
In previous cycles:
- The 2012 halving was followed by a bull peak in late 2013.
- The 2016 halving led to a top in December 2017.
- The 2020 halving saw Bitcoin reach its cycle high in November 2021.
Following this trend, a peak in late 2025 aligns closely with historical timing. Rekt Capital's projection fits within this framework, suggesting we are now in the final stretch of upward movement.
Potential Price Target: $140,000
While many investors focus on whether the bull run will continue, Rekt Capital also provides a potential price target for Bitcoin’s cycle top: $140,000.
This figure is derived from technical analysis of prior cycles and Fibonacci extensions applied to the current market structure. Although Bitcoin has already surged from its post-halving lows, reaching nearly $110,000, the final leg could push prices another 25%–30% higher.
However, the analyst cautions that such gains would occur over a compressed timeframe—possibly just two to three months—making late-stage entries riskier than earlier phases of accumulation.
Why Risk Is Skewed to the Downside
One of the core arguments Rekt Capital makes is about asymmetric risk. As markets approach a top, volatility increases and downside risks grow disproportionately compared to potential rewards.
At this stage:
- Most bullish sentiment is already priced in.
- Retail investors often enter en masse—a classic sign of market exhaustion.
- On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows and realized profit ratios begin to show signs of distribution.
These indicators suggest that smart money may already be taking profits, while less experienced traders chase momentum.
👉 See how market cycles influence crypto price movements.
Could This Cycle Be Different?
Some analysts argue that external factors—such as Bitcoin ETF approvals, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic conditions like inflation and interest rate cuts—could extend this cycle beyond historical norms.
Rekt Capital acknowledges these possibilities but remains cautious. He notes that while fundamentals have improved, market structure and human behavior tend to repeat, making it unlikely that this cycle will deviate significantly from past patterns unless there is a fundamental shift in global financial dynamics.
Only time will tell whether increased institutional involvement prolongs the rally or simply accelerates the peak before a sharper correction.
Key Takeaways for Investors
For traders and long-term holders alike, Rekt Capital’s analysis offers several actionable insights:
- Timing matters: With only an estimated 12% of the bull market remaining, new investments should be approached with caution.
- Take profits strategically: Consider scaling out of positions as prices approach projected highs.
- Watch macro signals: Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and on-chain activity can provide early warnings of a reversal.
- Prepare for volatility: After the peak, significant drawdowns are historically common before the next accumulation phase begins.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: How reliable is Rekt Capital’s analysis?
A: Rekt Capital has built credibility through consistent, data-driven forecasts—particularly his accurate call on the pre-halving correction. While no prediction is guaranteed, his methodology relies heavily on historical patterns and technical indicators widely respected in the crypto community.
Q: What happens after Bitcoin reaches its cycle top?
A: Historically, Bitcoin enters a bear or consolidation phase lasting 12–18 months after peaking. Prices typically decline significantly before stabilizing and beginning a new accumulation cycle ahead of the next halving.
Q: Is it too late to invest in Bitcoin now?
A: It depends on your investment horizon. Short-term traders face elevated risk near cycle tops. However, long-term holders may still find value in dollar-cost averaging, especially if they believe in Bitcoin’s role as digital gold or a hedge against monetary devaluation.
Q: What indicators should I watch to confirm a market top?
A: Key metrics include on-chain profit-taking activity (e.g., Coin Days Destroyed), exchange inflows, funding rates in derivatives markets, and sentiment gauges like the Fear & Greed Index. A combination of extreme greed and rising sell pressure often precedes major reversals.
Q: Could Bitcoin exceed $140,000?
A: Yes—while $140,000 is a projected high based on current trends, unforeseen catalysts like global economic instability or accelerated adoption could push prices higher. However, such moves would likely be short-lived without sustainable demand.
👉 Stay ahead with real-time data and expert insights from leading market analysts.
Final Thoughts
While excitement around Bitcoin remains high—and prices continue to climb—the warning from Rekt Capital serves as a timely reminder: bull markets don’t last forever. With historical patterns pointing toward a potential peak in late 2025 and only a narrow window of upside left, investors should remain vigilant.
Whether you're aiming to capture final gains or protect accumulated profits, understanding where we stand in the cycle is crucial. By combining technical analysis with disciplined risk management, traders can navigate this critical phase with greater confidence.
As always, conduct your own research and avoid emotional decision-making during periods of heightened volatility. The end of a bull market isn’t necessarily bad—it’s simply part of Bitcoin’s evolving journey.
Core Keywords: Bitcoin bull market, Bitcoin price prediction 2025, Rekt Capital Bitcoin analysis, BTC cycle peak, Bitcoin halving cycle, cryptocurrency market timing, Bitcoin $140k target