The current crypto bull market has reignited investor enthusiasm, with digital assets climbing steadily and market sentiment turning increasingly optimistic. However, seasoned analysts are already looking ahead—examining historical trends to forecast when this bullish phase might peak and eventually wind down. One such figure, the widely followed pseudonymous strategist Rekt Capital, has drawn attention for his data-driven insights into Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior and broader market dynamics.
Based on long-standing market patterns, Rekt Capital suggests that the next major peak in the crypto cycle could occur in late 2025, offering a potential timeline for investors to monitor.
Bitcoin’s Historical Cycle: A Roadmap to the Next Peak
At the heart of Rekt Capital’s analysis lies Bitcoin’s well-documented four-year cycle, which is closely tied to the Bitcoin halving—an event that reduces miner block rewards by 50% approximately every four years. Historically, each halving has preceded a bull run, with prices peaking roughly 18 to 19 months afterward.
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The upcoming halving is expected around April 20, 2025. Applying past patterns, Rekt Capital projects that the next bull market peak may arrive 518 to 546 days post-halving, placing it in mid-September to mid-October 2025.
“If history repeats, next bull market peak may occur 518–546 days after the halving. That’s mid-September or mid-October 2025.”
This projection aligns with previous cycles:
- The 2012 halving was followed by a price peak in late 2013.
- The 2016 halving preceded a rally climax in December 2017.
- The 2020 halving led to a market top in November 2021.
While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the consistency of these patterns adds weight to the analyst’s forecast.
Pre-Halving Rally and the Inevitable Dip
Currently, Bitcoin is in what Rekt Capital describes as the pre-halving rally phase—a period of upward momentum driven by anticipation of reduced supply and increasing demand. However, he warns that this phase typically ends with a sharp correction just before the halving event.
“Bitcoin is firmly in its pre-halving rally phase. But the pre-halving retrace phase is getting closer with each passing day.”
Historical data shows that Bitcoin often experiences a short-term dip or consolidation in the weeks leading up to the halving, as traders take profits and market volatility increases. This retracement doesn’t signal the end of the bull run but rather a temporary pause before the next leg upward.
Investors should prepare for increased volatility around April 2025, viewing any pullback not as a cause for alarm but as a potential accumulation opportunity ahead of the projected late-2025 peak.
Memecoins Set for Another Surge
While Bitcoin remains the market leader, Rekt Capital emphasizes that memecoins play a crucial role in every bull cycle. These community-driven tokens often experience explosive rallies during periods of high market optimism.
Among them, Shiba Inu (SHIB) is expected to revisit its all-time high. Currently trading over 57% below its October 2021 peak of $0.00008616, SHIB has been consolidating within key support zones. The analyst points to two possible accumulation ranges:
- Blue-black range: $0.000033285 – $0.000047348
- Orange-orange range: $0.0000221371 – $0.000026041
Once price action confirms a breakout from these zones, Rekt Capital believes SHIB could complete a U-shaped reversal, reclaiming previous highs before potentially moving beyond them.
Other memecoins like Dogecoin (DOGE), Floki (FLOKI), and Bonk (BONK) are also expected to see strong rallies, fueled by retail enthusiasm and speculative trading.
“FLOKI, DOGE, SHIB, BONK are always going to rally hard in bull markets. Market psychology will never change. Memecoins are always going to play an integral role in any money flow cycle.”
This recurring pattern underscores the emotional and behavioral aspects of crypto markets—where narrative and momentum often drive short-term price action.
Core Keywords and Market Themes
The analysis naturally revolves around several core keywords that reflect both technical trends and investor sentiment:
- Bitcoin halving
- Crypto bull market
- Market cycle
- Memecoins
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)
- Bull run peak
- Pre-halving rally
- Historical patterns
These terms not only define the current market phase but also align with high-volume search queries from users seeking clarity on timing, risk, and opportunity.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
When is the next Bitcoin halving expected?
The next Bitcoin halving is projected to occur around April 20, 2025. This event reduces the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block, historically tightening supply and setting the stage for price appreciation.
When could the current crypto bull market peak?
Based on historical patterns, the bull market could peak between mid-September and mid-October 2025, roughly 18 months after the halving event.
Why do memecoins surge during bull markets?
Memecoins thrive in bullish environments due to low entry prices, strong community engagement, and speculative momentum. They often serve as “risk-on” assets that attract retail investors during periods of high market confidence.
Should I sell before the halving?
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. While some traders take profits ahead of the halving due to expected volatility, others view any dip as a buying opportunity. A strategic approach based on risk tolerance and investment goals is recommended.
Is SHIB likely to reach new all-time highs?
Rekt Capital believes SHIB is on track to reclaim its previous highs after completing its accumulation phase. A confirmed breakout from key support zones could trigger a strong upward move.
How reliable are historical crypto market patterns?
While not infallible, historical patterns—especially those tied to the Bitcoin halving—have proven remarkably consistent over multiple cycles. They should be used as one tool among many in market analysis.
Strategic Insights for Investors
As the 2025 timeline comes into focus, investors can benefit from a disciplined strategy:
- Monitor Bitcoin’s price action around the halving for signs of a pre-retreat.
- Use any dip as a potential entry point for long-term holdings.
- Keep an eye on memecoin volume and social sentiment as leading indicators of retail participation.
- Diversify exposure across established assets like BTC and high-potential altcoins.
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The convergence of historical timing, technical patterns, and behavioral trends paints a compelling picture: we’re likely in the middle innings of a bull market with significant momentum still ahead.
Final Thoughts
While no forecast can predict the future with certainty, Rekt Capital’s analysis offers a valuable framework grounded in observable market behavior. The projected late-2025 peak gives investors time to plan, position, and prepare—not just for gains, but for the eventual shift into a new market phase.
Whether you're tracking Bitcoin’s dominance or watching memecoins explode in value, understanding historical patterns and cycle dynamics is essential for navigating the volatile yet rewarding world of digital assets.
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